The 2025 Atlantic hurricane season, so far, might be the best-case scenario in several aspects, particularly on minimal impacts.
The Numbers
Through the morning of Sept. 24, seven named storms and two hurricanes have formed so far in the season.
That’s three storms and two hurricanes off the average pace through the third week of September, according to the National Hurricane Center.
One primary contributor to this has been a weirdly quiet first three-plus weeks of September — typically the most active month — as we discussed in a previous piece.
The Track Map
But while the seasonal numbers say it’s been quiet, it’s the map of tracks so far that has been most incredible.
(Further beef up your forecast with our detailed, hour-by-hour breakdown for the next 8 days – only available on our Premium Pro experience.)
2025 Atlantic hurricane season
What We Found Amazing About That Map
With 70% of an average hurricane season’s activity now in the rear-view mirror, here are the aspects of that track map we’ve found most fascinating:
Only one storm made a mainland U.S. landfall so far, and that was short-lived Tropical Storm Chantal in early July.
While parts of the Caribbean had some impacts from Hurricane Erin in mid-August, none of the seven tracks have been in the Caribbean Sea.
Five of the eight storms, including both hurricanes, remained over the central Atlantic Ocean or did a C-shaped curl into the open North Atlantic.
It’s about the best possible track map we could hope for any hurricane season through late September.
(For even more granular weather data tracking in your area, view your 15-minute details forecast in our Premium Pro experience.)
Some Impacts, Though
Despite this, the three aforementioned storms had at least some impacts in the U.S.
Remnant spin and moisture from Barry contributed to the deadly July Fourth Texas flood.
Chantal dumped flooding rain and spawned a few weak tornadoes in central North Carolina, including parts of Chapel Hill and Durham.
And Hurricane Erin tracked just close enough to the East Coast to produce tropical-storm-force winds along the North Carolina coast and Virginia Tidewater, not to mention some significant coastal flooding along parts of the East Coast.
Don’t Expect That To Last
Apart from the latest tropical activity here in late September, about 30% of an average hurricane season’s activity happens after Sept. 24.
October is still usually an active month, particularly from the western Caribbean Sea into the eastern Gulf and off the Southeast U.S. coast.
So don’t let your guard down yet in the Caribbean, Gulf or along the U.S. coast. Keep your hurricane plan ready to go, in case most of this season’s activity ends up at the end.
Jonathan Erdman is a senior meteorologist at weather.com and has been covering national and international weather since 1996. His lifelong love of meteorology began with a close encounter with a tornado as a child in Wisconsin. Extreme and bizarre weather are his favorite topics. Reach out to him on X (formerly Twitter), Threads, Facebook and Bluesky.