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S&P 500 Futures Eye Breakout as Gann Resistance Nears

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The rally unfolding in the is not just a technical bounce—it aligns remarkably well with multiple time and price harmonics that Gann would have considered high-probability inflection points.

Gann Time Cycles

This week marks the completion of a minor 4-day cycle from Monday’s low, which often produces a reversal or acceleration move. Thursday’s 6346 low came precisely one trading day before this timing window, creating a “cycle inversion” setup—where the expected low manifests early, and the market then surges into the projected turn date instead of declining.

  • Short-Term Cycle: Thursday’s low and today’s rally fit within the 2–4 day oscillation pattern seen across the past two weeks.
  • Intermediate Cycle: We remain in the upward phase of the 45-day Gann cycle from the June 24 pivot low, suggesting upside bias remains into the mid-August cluster before the next significant corrective window.

Square of 9 Price/Time Confluence

Using the Square of 9, several key levels align:

  • 6346 (Buy 2 Daily) aligns with a 90° rotation from the prior pivot at 6437, suggesting it would serve as natural price support.
  • 6429–6437 falls on the same 360° wheel as earlier resistance points from late July, making it a strong harmonic resistance band.
  • A break above 6437 projects to 6456–6462 as the next 45°–60° upward rotation, which could act as a short-term magnet if momentum holds.

360-Day Cycle Context

From a broader cyclical standpoint, the 360-day (annual) cycle is in its final quarterly phase, which began in late June. Historically, this segment is characterized by volatile swings, but when the bias is upward—as it is now—it can produce “blow-off” style advances before the cycle’s seasonal fatigue sets in.

  • Next 360-Day Cycle Low: Projected for late September to early October 2025, aligning with broader market seasonal weakness.
  • Until then, minor cycle pullbacks into mid-August and early September should be viewed as opportunities if they hold above key VC PMI and Fibonacci support levels.

Strategic Takeaways

  • Bullish Bias holds while price stays above 6403 (VC PMI Weekly) and 6386 (Daily Buy 1).
  • Breakout target: 6456–6462 (Square of 9 projection).
  • Caution zone: 6429–6437 remains a harmonic resistance cluster—watch for hesitation or profit-taking here.
  • Larger time frame suggests this rally could be part of a final upside push before a more significant 360-day cycle correction window in late Q3.

Emini S&P 500 Chart

S&P 500 Futures-15-Min Chart

TRADING DERIVATIVES, FINANCIAL INSTRUMENTS AND PRECIOUS METALS INVOLVES SIGNIFICANT RISK OF LOSS AND IS NOT SUITABLE FOR EVERYONE. PAST PERFORMANCE IS NOT NECESSARILY INDICATIVE OF FUTURE RESULTS.





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