Tropical Storm Gabrielle is expected to become a hurricane Sunday morning, Sept. 21, according to the National Hurricane Center.
Gabrielle is expected to become a hurricane as it passes east of Bermuda, and could strengthen into a Category 2 storm with 105-mph sustained winds within the next 36 hours.
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Forecasters warned residents in Bermuda should monitor Gabrielle’s progress, especially since the National Hurricane Center’s “average track error at three days is about 90 nautical miles and hazards can extend well away from the center.”
Gabrielle’s tropical-storm-force winds extended 140 miles from the center on Saturday.
Gabrielle is the seventh named storm of the 2025 Atlantic hurricane season and the first tropical storm since Tropical Storm Fernand formed Aug. 23.
If it does become a hurricane, it will be the second hurricane of the season.
Erin became the season’s first hurricane on Aug. 15, and rapidly intensified into a major hurricane with peak winds hitting 160 mph on Aug. 16.
Highlights on what Tropical Storm Gabrielle is doing now
Special note on the NHC cone: The forecast track shows the most likely path of the center of the storm. It does not illustrate the full width of the storm or its impacts, and the center of the storm is likely to travel outside the cone up to 33% of the time.
Location: 530 miles northeast of the northern Leeward Islands; 685 miles southeast of Bermuda; 1,455 miles east of Daytona Beach
Maximum sustained winds: 50 mph
Movement: northwest at 13 mph
Tropical Storm Gabrielle expected to strengthen into Category 2 hurricane
At 4 a.m., the center of Tropical Storm Gabrielle was located near latitude 24.3 North, longitude 58.1 West.
Gabrielle is moving toward the northwest near 13 mph, and this general motion is expected to continue through Saturday night. A turn toward the north-northwest is forecast on Sunday, followed by a turn toward the north and northeast Monday and Monday night.
The center of Gabrielle is expected to pass east of Bermuda Sunday night and Monday.
Maximum sustained winds are near 50 mph with higher gusts.
Gradual strengthening is forecast, and Gabrielle is expected to become a hurricane by Sept. 21.
Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 140 miles to the east of the center.
The estimated minimum central pressure is 1004 mb.
Spaghetti models for Tropical Storm Gabrielle
Special note about spaghetti models: Illustrations include an array of forecast tools and models, and not all are created equal. The hurricane center uses only the top four or five highest performing models to help make its forecasts.
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See map of current watches, warnings in Florida
No watches or warnings associated with the tropical storm have been issued in Florida or the U.S.
How strong is Tropical Storm Gabrielle and where is it going?
Key messages from the National Hurricane Center: What you need to know about Tropical Storm Gabrielle
Gabrielle is forecast to become a hurricane by Sunday and pass about 140 nautical miles east of Bermuda Sunday night and Monday.
Residents on Bermuda should monitor Gabrielle’s forecasts since it is too soon to specify the magnitude of potential wind and rainfall impacts.
Swells generated by Gabrielle are expected to reach Bermuda tonight and build through the weekend. These swells are likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions.
Gabrielle is expected to stay away from Florida and the U.S. but indirect impacts of dangerous rip currents and rough surf are possible.
No coastal watches or warnings are in effect as of 11 a.m. Friday.
Current forecast: Where is Tropical Storm Gabrielle going and how strong could it get?
What impact could Tropical Storm Gabrielle have? Could Florida, US feel any impacts?
That’s unknown at this time, although current forecasts continue to predict Gabrielle will curve north in the Atlantic and stay away from Florida and the United States.
Significant impacts to Florida and the U.S. are not expected at this time, but rough surf and dangerous rip currents will be possible along the East Coast during the middle to late portions of next week, according to AccuWeather.
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This story has been updated to include new information.
This article originally appeared on The Daytona Beach News-Journal: Tropical Storm Gabrielle path, forecast for hurricane winds