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Gold Consolidation at 3,788 Masks Imminent Breakout or Reversion Path

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  • Recent Move: Rally off 3660.5 low into 3824.6 extended Fibonacci and harmonic projections.
  • Harmonic Levels: Key Square of 9 nodes at 3748, 3824, 3897, and 3912.
  • Resistance Map: A sustained breakout above 3837 opens harmonic resonance toward 3897–3912.
  • Strategic View: Square of 9 harmonics provide vibrational targets that overlap with VC PMI Sell zones.

Market Structure

futures are consolidating after a sharp rally from the low at 3660.5 into the recent peak at 3824.6. Price is currently trading near 3788, positioned in a critical support/resistance band defined by both daily and weekly VC PMI levels. This juncture will determine whether momentum extends toward higher Fibonacci projections or rotates back into mean reversion.

VC PMI FrameworkGold Futures Chart

Currently, gold is trading between Daily Buy 1 (3784) and Weekly Sell 2 (3787). This narrow band suggests immediate equilibrium. A decisive close above 3804 would shift sentiment bullish toward 3837–3897, while failure below 3784 exposes 3725–3704.

Gann Cycle Integration

Gold Futures - Gann Cycle
360-Day Cycle: The dominant 360-day low window converges around September 28, 2025. This is a key structural pivot. If gold sustains strength into this date, the market could be launching from a major long-term cycle low, setting the stage for higher-timeframe upside toward year-end.

The convergence of the short-term 30-day cycle in escape velocity with the long-term 360-day cycle trough points to a powerful potential reversal dynamic. If confirmed, price could invert from short-term weakness into a multi-month uptrend.

Square of 9 Harmonics

These harmonics reinforce that gold is orbiting critical vibrational nodes, where reversals and accelerations often unfold.

Conclusion

Gold futures are balancing on a knife’s edge at the confluence of daily and weekly VC PMI levels. The September 28th 360-day cycle low carries outsized significance: holding above 3660–3704 suggests a structural reversal into a new long-term bull phase. In the near term, watch 3784–3804 as the trigger band — failure leads to reversion at 3725, while a close above pivots targets 3837 and beyond.

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TRADING DERIVATIVES, FINANCIAL INSTRUMENTS AND PRECIOUS METALS INVOLVES SIGNIFICANT RISK OF LOSS AND IS NOT SUITABLE FOR EVERYONE. PAST PERFORMANCE IS NOT NECESSARILY INDICATIVE OF FUTURE RESULTS.





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