Experts from Colorado State University released their initial forecast for this year’s Atlantic hurricane season on Thursday, with as many as 17 storms expected. Of those 17 storms, nine are expected to become hurricanes, according to researchers.
The forecast includes a state-by-state look at hurricane risk this year. Those calculations predict the chances of a storm passing within 50 miles of the state.
The experts said Maryland faces a 37% chance of being impacted by a storm and 13% chance of a hurricane in 2025.
The highest risk is in Florida, which faces a 92% chance of being impacted by a storm, and a 65% chance of being impacted by a hurricane. Meanwhile, there is a low, but not negligible, risk to the north in New England. Rhode Island faces a 25% storm chance and 9% hurricane chance, forecasters say.
Colorado State University’s outlook is one of several major forecasts for the hurricane season that will publish this spring. AccuWeather’s forecast, which came out last week, calls for 13-18 named storms, of which 7-10 will be hurricanes.
Federal forecasters from the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration will release their forecast in late May.
Here’s what to know about how likely a state is to see a hurricane this year.
Will a hurricane impact Alabama this year?
In Alabama, there’s a 67% storm chance and 34% hurricane chance this year. There is also a 10% chance of a major hurricane tracking within 50 miles of Alabama, according to CSU experts.
Will a hurricane impact Connecticut this year?
There is a 27% storm chance and 9% hurricane chance in Connecticut this year.
Will a hurricane impact Delaware this year?
There is a 28% storm chance and 8% hurricane chance in Delaware this year.
Will a hurricane impact Florida this year?
In Florida, there is a 92% storm chance and 65% hurricane chance this year. There is also a 35% chance of a major hurricane tracking within 50 miles of the state.
Will a hurricane impact Georgia this year?
There is a 72% storm chance and 37% hurricane chance in Georgia this year.
Will a hurricane impact Louisiana this year?
In Louisiana, there is a 74% storm chance and 46% hurricane chance this year. There is also an 18% chance of a major hurricane tracking within 50 miles of Louisiana.
Will a hurricane impact Maine this year?
In Maine, there is a 26% storm chance and 9% hurricane chance this year.
Will a hurricane impact Maryland this year?
In Maryland, there is a 37% storm chance and 13% hurricane chance in 2025.
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Will a hurricane impact Massachusetts this year?
There is a 40% storm chance and 18% hurricane chance in Massachusetts this year.
Will a hurricane impact Mississippi this year?
There is a 62% storm chance and 35% hurricane chance in Mississippi this year.
Will a hurricane impact New Hampshire this year?
In New Hampshire, there is a 22% storm chance and 7% hurricane chance this year.
Will a hurricane impact New Jersey this year?
In New Jersey, there is a 28% storm chance and 9% hurricane chance this year.
Will a hurricane impact New York this year?
There is a 32% storm chance and 12% hurricane chance in New York this year.
Will a hurricane impact North Carolina this year?
There is a 76% storm chance and 46% hurricane chance in North Carolina this year.
Will a hurricane impact Rhode Island this year?
There is a 25% storm chance and 9% hurricane chance in Rhode Island this year.
Will a hurricane impact South Carolina this year?
In South Carolina, there is a 66% storm chance and 35% hurricane chance this year.
Will a hurricane impact Texas this year?
In Texas, there is a 70% storm chance and 44% hurricane chance this year, as well as a 19% chance of a major hurricane tracking within 50 miles of the state.
Will a hurricane impact Virginia this year?
There is a 54% storm chance and 24% hurricane chance in Virginia this year.
Tropical Storm Milton on satellite just before 2 p.m. on Saturday, Oct. 5, 2024.
When does Atlantic hurricane season 2025 begin?
Hurricane season officially begins June 1, but storms have formed in May in several recent years. The six-month season lasts until November 30.
Will a major hurricane make landfall in the US in 2025?
Colorado State researchers said there’s a 51% chance of a major hurricane making landfall somewhere along the U.S. coastline. The average, based on records from 1880 to 2020, is 43%.
A major hurricane has wind speeds of at least 111 mph.
The chances for a landfall are greater along the Gulf Coast (33%) than they are along the East Coast (26%).
This article originally appeared on USA TODAY: List shows 2025 hurricane risk by state, according to CSU forecast